NEWS ANALYSIS: A New Chapter

By Kartik Lokhande

The ratification of Land Boundary Agreement of 1974 and the Protocol of 2011 between India and Bangladesh is indeed a new chapter in not only the foreign relations between both the countries but also in India’s external affairs. Prime Minister Mr Narendra Modi and Bangladesh Premier Sheikh Hasina both showed their determination to iron out the issues pertaining to land boundary through expeditious implementation of the historic Land Boundary Agreement (LBA).

The agreement has its roots in the partition of India in 1947. Then, Sir Cyril Radcliffe had drawn up a line separating India and Pakistan. Later, this Radcliffe Line became the border between India and liberated East Pakistan now known as Bangladesh. There were issues to be settled and Land Boundary Agreement of 1974 was signed between both the countries. These issued included undemarcated land boundary of 6.1 kms, exchange of enclaves, and ‘adverse possessions’. However, the situation on ground remained complex as the LBA could not come into desired effect. In the past few years, it gained momentum with the signing of the Protocol in 2011 to effect LBA.

As is the case, ratification of LBA is being hailed in both the countries. Prime Minister Mr Narendra Modi equated the development with fall of Berlin Wall. Bangladesh Premier Sheikh Hasina also welcomed it. Even Bangladesh hardliner group Jamaat-e-Islami’s Acting Secretary General Dr Shafiqur Rahman welcomed it as a ‘new era’ of mutual trust and respect.

And, all of them are correct in defining the moment has historic. For years, because of undemarcated border and enclaves in each other’s territories, as well as ‘adverse possessions’, both the countries and especially India suffered a lot. The major contributors to these sufferings being illegal immigration, porous borders, smuggling, illegal activities like transport of fake currency notes, trans-border crimes. Owing to undemarcated boundary and adverse possessions, there were incidences of exchange of fire between the militaries of India and Bangladesh, till as recently as 1999.

What had stalled the effect of the agreement was a perception that there would be loss of land, especially to India. For, in exchange of enclaves, India would transfer 111 enclaves with total area of 17,160.63 acres to Bangladesh, while the latter would transfer 51 enclaves with total area of 7,110.02 acres to the former. The top policy-makers knew that this perception had no basis of ground situation. Still, they exercised abundant caution while inking the documents over the years. As far as these enclaves are concerned, they are located deep inside the territories of both the countries and there has been no physical access for either. Thus, the ratification of LBA vis-à-vis is merely – as the document of Ministry of External Affairs (India) describes it – conversion of a ‘de facto reality into a de jure situation’.

Not only does this ratification give the residents of these areas their ‘homeland’, but also offers a better road ahead from strategic view-point. For, any country with well-defined and settled borders can fine-tune its diplomacy, strategy, economy, and security on that basis.

India and Bangladesh can build up on this development, and enough indications are given by the premiers of both the countries that there would be enhanced co-operation in various sectors mainly including security.

However, for India, the success of the historic ratification will also be in effective sorting out of the long-pending problem of illegal immigration from Bangladesh, especially into the North-Eastern states. As per the 2001 Census, an estimated 3.1 million Bangladeshis were residing in India. The revised estimates in 2009 pegged the figure at 15 million. In 2012, the then Minister of State (Home) Mullapally Ramachandran had stated that in past 10 years, around 1.4 million Bangladeshis had entered India.

Whatever the numbers, but illegal immigration from Bangladesh to India remains the hard fact. It has adversely affected the socio-political and socio-economic dimensions in North-Eastern states like Assam. Involvement of many of these migrants into illegal activities is no secret. In fact, this illegal immigration has been one of the factors responsible for cropping up of new internal security challenges for Indian establishment.

Against this backdrop, the Government of India needs to find a long-term effective solution to not only check the illegal immigration from Bangladesh but also to find solution to problems created by illegal immigration in the past.

Then only, the new chapter of relations between India and Bangladesh will be glorious one indeed. 

(08-06-15)

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